Crime Grade · FBI UCR Data · 2025
Surprise, AZ Crime Grade
How Surprise grades for violent crime against every other reporting U.S. city — and against the rest of Arizona — based on the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting data.
National
3/10
vs. all U.S. cities ≥ 25,000 population
Arizona
2/10
vs. Arizona cities ≥ 10,000 population
In 2025, the violent crime rate in Surprise, AZ was 81.6 per 100,000 residents (142 incidents over a population of 173,922). That puts Surprise Infinity% above the U.S. rate of 0.0 and 78% below the Arizona statewide rate of 377.3.
That ranks Surprise #910 of 3,771 ranked U.S. cities, safer than 76% of them, and #6 of 45 in Arizona. Violent crime is down 25% year over year and down 38% over the last five years.
Surprise, AZ crime — key facts
- National Crime Grade
- A (3/10)
- Arizona Grade
- A (2/10)
- Violent crime rate
- 81.6 / 100k
- National rank
- #910 of 3,771
- AZ rank
- #6 of 45
- Safer than
- 76% of U.S. cities
- Year over year
- down 25%
- 5-year change
- down 38%
- Population
- 173,922
- Reporting agency
- Surprise Police Department
- Data year
- 2025 · FBI UCR
Reported by Surprise Police Department (FBI ORI AZ0072700) to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting Program. Download the full dataset (CSV) · methodology.
About Surprise, AZ
Also known as
- Ennis
Name history sourced from the USGS Geographic Names Information System (GNIS) — public-domain federal geographic-names data.
Violent crime rate, 5-year trend
Per 100,000 residents. Surprise (red), Arizona (blue), U.S. average (gray dashed).
Surprise vs. U.S., 2025 — by offense
Rates per 100,000 residents for each offense category.
Full data, last 5 years
Rates per 100,000 residents. Raw counts in parentheses.
| Offense | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent crime | 132.3(193) | 119.4(184) | 100.4(160) | 109.1(178) | 81.6(142) |
| Murder | 0.7(1) | 1.3(2) | 1.3(2) | 7.4(12) | 3.4(6) |
| Rape | 31.5(46) | 15.6(24) | 21.3(34) | 16.5(27) | 7.5(13) |
| Robbery | 13.0(19) | 22.7(35) | 11.9(19) | 11.0(18) | 14.4(25) |
| Aggravated assault | 87.1(127) | 79.8(123) | 65.9(105) | 74.1(121) | 56.3(98) |
| Property crime | 1490.1(2,173) | 1413.1(2,178) | 1257.6(2,004) | 884.8(1,444) | 744.6(1,295) |
| Burglary | 138.5(202) | 131.7(203) | 123.6(197) | 94.4(154) | 74.7(130) |
| Larceny | 1241.2(1,810) | 1175.0(1,811) | 1011.0(1,611) | 683.8(1,116) | 588.2(1,023) |
| Motor vehicle theft | 98.7(144) | 96.7(149) | 119.9(191) | 99.3(162) | 75.9(132) |
How the Crime Grade is calculated
- What is the source of the Surprise, AZ Crime Grade?
- FBI Uniform Crime Reporting via the Crime Data Explorer. Agency-level data, pulled directly. No third-party aggregators, no proprietary score.
- What metric does the Surprise Crime Grade use?
- Violent crime rate per 100,000 residents (murder + rape + robbery + aggravated assault), most recent fully-reported year.
- How is the national decile for Surprise calculated?
- Surprise's rate placed against all FBI-reporting U.S. cities with population ≥ 25,000. 1 = safest.
- How is the Arizona state decile calculated?
- Same calculation restricted to Arizona cities with population ≥ 10,000.
- How do decile scores convert to a letter grade?
- 1–3 = A · 4–5 = B · 6–7 = C · 8 = D · 9–10 = F.
- How often is the Surprise Crime Grade refreshed?
- Twice a year. The FBI typically releases the prior year's full data each September.
- What are the limits of this Crime Grade?
- The FBI relies on local agency reporting. Rates reflect what was reported, not what occurred.
Nearby cities in Arizona
Comparable Arizona cities by population.
Compare Surprise to other places
Want crime data for your application?
SpotCrime's Real-Time Crime Data API delivers incident-level data, not just aggregate grades. Used by family-safety apps, real-estate platforms, executive protection teams, and government agencies.