Crime Grade · FBI UCR Data · 2025
Surprise, AZ Crime Grade
How Surprise grades for violent crime against every other reporting U.S. city — and against the rest of Arizona — based on the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting data.
National
2/10
vs. all U.S. cities ≥ 25,000 population
Arizona
2/10
vs. Arizona cities ≥ 10,000 population
In 2025, the violent crime rate in Surprise, AZ was 81.6 per 100,000 residents (142 incidents over a population of 173,922). That puts Surprise Infinity% above the U.S. rate of 0.0 and 78% below the Arizona statewide rate of 377.3.
Violent crime rate, 5-year trend
Per 100,000 residents. Surprise (red), Arizona (blue), U.S. average (gray dashed).
Surprise vs. U.S., 2025 — by offense
Rates per 100,000 residents for each offense category.
Full data, last 5 years
Rates per 100,000 residents. Raw counts in parentheses.
| Offense | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent crime | 132.3(193) | 119.4(184) | 100.4(160) | 109.1(178) | 81.6(142) |
| Murder | 0.7(1) | 1.3(2) | 1.3(2) | 7.4(12) | 3.4(6) |
| Rape | 31.5(46) | 15.6(24) | 21.3(34) | 16.5(27) | 7.5(13) |
| Robbery | 13.0(19) | 22.7(35) | 11.9(19) | 11.0(18) | 14.4(25) |
| Aggravated assault | 87.1(127) | 79.8(123) | 65.9(105) | 74.1(121) | 56.3(98) |
| Property crime | 1490.1(2,173) | 1413.1(2,178) | 1257.6(2,004) | 884.8(1,444) | 744.6(1,295) |
| Burglary | 138.5(202) | 131.7(203) | 123.6(197) | 94.4(154) | 74.7(130) |
| Larceny | 1241.2(1,810) | 1175.0(1,811) | 1011.0(1,611) | 683.8(1,116) | 588.2(1,023) |
| Motor vehicle theft | 98.7(144) | 96.7(149) | 119.9(191) | 99.3(162) | 75.9(132) |
How the Crime Grade is calculated
- Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reporting via the Crime Data Explorer. Agency-level data, pulled directly. No third-party aggregators, no proprietary score.
- Metric: Violent crime rate per 100,000 residents (murder + rape + robbery + aggravated assault), most recent fully-reported year.
- National decile: Surprise's rate placed against all FBI-reporting U.S. cities with population ≥ 25,000. 1 = safest.
- State decile: Same calculation restricted to Arizona cities with population ≥ 10,000.
- Letter grade: 1–3 = A · 4–5 = B · 6–7 = C · 8 = D · 9–10 = F.
- Refresh: Twice a year. The FBI typically releases the prior year's full data each September.
- Limits: The FBI relies on local agency reporting. Rates reflect what was reported, not what occurred.
Want crime data for your application?
SpotCrime's Real-Time Crime Data API delivers incident-level data, not just aggregate grades. Used by family-safety apps, real-estate platforms, executive protection teams, and government agencies.