Crime Grade · FBI UCR Data · 2025
Modesto, CA Crime Grade
How Modesto grades for violent crime against every other reporting U.S. city — and against the rest of California — based on the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting data.
National
10/10
vs. all U.S. cities ≥ 25,000 population
California
9/10
vs. California cities ≥ 10,000 population
In 2025, the violent crime rate in Modesto, CA was 580.4 per 100,000 residents (1,283 incidents over a population of 221,064). That puts Modesto 78% above the U.S. rate of 325.3 and 40% above the California statewide rate of 415.5.
That ranks Modesto #3,397 of 3,771 ranked U.S. cities, safer than 10% of them, and #318 of 371 in California. Violent crime is down 13% year over year and up 125810% over the last five years.
Modesto, CA crime — key facts
- National Crime Grade
- F (10/10)
- California Grade
- F (9/10)
- Violent crime rate
- 580.4 / 100k
- National rank
- #3,397 of 3,771
- CA rank
- #318 of 371
- Safer than
- 10% of U.S. cities
- Year over year
- down 13%
- 5-year change
- up 125810%
- Population
- 221,064
- Reporting agency
- Modesto Police Department
- Data year
- 2025 · FBI UCR
Reported by Modesto Police Department (FBI ORI CA0500200) to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting Program. Download the full dataset (CSV) · methodology.
About Modesto, CA
Also known as
- Ralston
Name history sourced from the USGS Geographic Names Information System (GNIS) — public-domain federal geographic-names data.
Violent crime rate, 5-year trend
Per 100,000 residents. Modesto (red), California (blue), U.S. average (gray dashed).
Modesto vs. U.S., 2025 — by offense
Rates per 100,000 residents for each offense category.
Full data, last 5 years
Rates per 100,000 residents. Raw counts in parentheses.
| Offense | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent crime | 0.5(1) | 758.6(1,662) | 651.6(1,419) | 665.8(1,458) | 580.4(1,283) |
| Murder | 0.0(0) | 4.1(9) | 4.1(9) | 2.7(6) | 0.0(0) |
| Rape | 0.5(1) | 47.5(104) | 70.7(154) | 59.8(131) | 45.2(100) |
| Robbery | 0.0(0) | 133.3(292) | 109.7(239) | 114.2(250) | 87.8(194) |
| Aggravated assault | 0.0(0) | 573.8(1,257) | 467.0(1,017) | 489.1(1,071) | 447.4(989) |
| Property crime | 0.9(2) | 2462.1(5,394) | 2260.6(4,923) | 2488.7(5,450) | 1871.9(4,138) |
| Burglary | 0.0(0) | 267.9(587) | 261.7(570) | 267.1(585) | 187.7(415) |
| Larceny | 0.9(2) | 1789.3(3,920) | 1628.3(3,546) | 1835.7(4,020) | 1462.9(3,234) |
| Motor vehicle theft | 0.0(0) | 362.4(794) | 322.3(702) | 328.3(719) | 179.1(396) |
How the Crime Grade is calculated
- What is the source of the Modesto, CA Crime Grade?
- FBI Uniform Crime Reporting via the Crime Data Explorer. Agency-level data, pulled directly. No third-party aggregators, no proprietary score.
- What metric does the Modesto Crime Grade use?
- Violent crime rate per 100,000 residents (murder + rape + robbery + aggravated assault), most recent fully-reported year.
- How is the national decile for Modesto calculated?
- Modesto's rate placed against all FBI-reporting U.S. cities with population ≥ 25,000. 1 = safest.
- How is the California state decile calculated?
- Same calculation restricted to California cities with population ≥ 10,000.
- How do decile scores convert to a letter grade?
- 1–3 = A · 4–5 = B · 6–7 = C · 8 = D · 9–10 = F.
- How often is the Modesto Crime Grade refreshed?
- Twice a year. The FBI typically releases the prior year's full data each September.
- What are the limits of this Crime Grade?
- The FBI relies on local agency reporting. Rates reflect what was reported, not what occurred.
Nearby cities in California
Comparable California cities by population.
Compare Modesto to other places
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